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Why the future of influence is real life, not viral

Brands need to think about influence less as media distribution and more as behavioural infrastructure, writes Tom Ridges.

Tom Ridges

CEO Herdify

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Consumer trends rarely explode onto the scene all at once. Usually, they quietly gather momentum over time until, one day, they suddenly seem to be everywhere.

Take wired headphones, for example. Not long ago, they were considered hopelessly outdated, replaced almost entirely by sleek wireless earbuds. But look around in 2026, and you’ll notice they’re back. On the tube, in coffee shops, across TikTok and Instagram feeds. Wired headphones are cool again.

What’s interesting is that this didn’t happen because of a huge campaign, a celeb partnership or a viral moment; instead, it happened because of a series of small but consistent cultural cues over time.

Virality itself is highly visible and easily measurable, but rarely translates into long-term behavioural change.

Tom Ridges, CEO of Herdify

Celebrities such as Zendaya and Jacob Elordi were spotted in public multiple times sporting the old-school headphones, which helped normalise the aesthetic without directly “selling” it. Gen Z’s attraction to retro, plus frustrations with wireless tech, have all contributed to the trend. Bit by bit, wired headphones stopped feeling outdated and started feeling normal again.

This is how influence really works. It’s rarely driven by one defining moment. Instead, it builds gradually through repeated exposure in the real world through shared collective behaviour.

Optimise for adoption, not just attention

87% of marketers plan to increase their influencer marketing spend in 2026. While this spend is growing fast, the success of these campaigns is often undermined because they still approach influence as though a single creator partnership or viral moment could drive mass adoption. “Influence” has become increasingly synonymous with “influencers”, even though most online attention delivers short-term results.

However, it’s a lot more complicated than that.

Virality itself is highly visible and easily measurable, but rarely translates into long-term behavioural change or sustained brand affinity. A social media post could be everywhere in 48 hours and forgotten 48 hours later.

A viral moment can absolutely spark awareness. It can introduce people to a product, shape perception or create conversation. But real behavioural change tends to happen more gradually, because people don’t make decisions in isolation. They look to the people and behaviours around them, often without even realising it.

Behavioural science has understood this for decades. Sustained influence happens when behaviours are seen in the real world. As humans, we are heavily influenced by what we repeatedly observe around us. The more frequently we see something in trusted environments, the more familiar and socially acceptable it becomes. Familiarity lowers resistance to adoption. What once felt niche starts to feel normal.

That’s why trends often spread more like social contagion than advertising campaigns.

For savvy brands, there is an increasing focus away from single-hero moments towards broader ecosystems of participation.

Tom Ridges, CEO of Herdify

Influencers as a catalyst for awareness

Now, this doesn’t mean that influencers have lost their value. In fact, far from it.

They play a hugely important role in introducing behaviours and accelerating awareness. But smart brands are using influencers as catalysts for awareness rather than as the sole drivers of action.

There is a growing recognition that creators are most effective when their content becomes reinforced through wider real-life participation. Behaviours gain legitimacy when consumers start noticing them organically in everyday life. This offline visibility reinforces online exposure, creating a feedback loop that strengthens cultural adoption.

A good example of this is the rapid popularity of the Stanley Quencher cup. It didn’t become a phenomenon with a single campaign; instead, it gradually spread through lifestyle influencers, hydration culture, desk setups, and ‘day in the life’ content. But it wasn’t just online; the cup would be seen in offices, gyms, and on commutes, to reinforce the trend offline. Using the product becomes culturally normal.

A shift in mindset

For savvy brands, there is an increasing focus away from single-hero moments towards broader ecosystems of participation. Instead of asking; ‘who should promote this?’, the better question becomes ‘how do we make this behaviour socially visible enough to feel normal?’

That requires a very different mindset.

It means thinking about influence less as media distribution and more as behavioural infrastructure. This represents consistent, multi-channel systems that a brand puts in place to facilitate repeated in-person validation and make a behaviour feel culturally normal. Things like repetition, social proof, offline visibility and consistency all matter a lot. Most importantly, though, trust matters.

We’re operating in an environment where consumer trust is fragmented, and attention spans are incredibly short. People are more sceptical of overt advertising than ever before. Highly polished influencer content can still work, but often only when it feels connected to something culturally authentic beneath the surface.

Ironically, the more brands try to engineer virality directly, the more audiences tend to resist it. Culture doesn’t move in straight lines anymore. It spreads through networks, communities and repeated exposure over time.

Influence needs nurturing

Brands are beginning to realise that influence isn’t something you can simply buy and instantly scale. It has to be built, reinforced and nurtured.

Central to this is understanding that consumers adopt behaviours when they feel socially validated, when they’ve seen them enough times and when they stop feeling unfamiliar. 

In 2026, it won’t necessarily be the brands that are the loudest who win. Instead, it’s those who understand that influence spreads in real-world social circles, collectively and gradually, and who can build a behavioural infrastructure that could have the same effect as the Stanley Quencher cup.

Guest Author

Tom Ridges

CEO Herdify

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Tom Ridges is CEO at Herdify

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Social/Influencer